0x5A6C5d567C5CD9c5444F34A8E2593Fc87a6fC594-1767537606372
0x5a6c5d567c5cd9c5444f34a8e2593fc87a6fc594
- Realised P&L
- $-167.41
- Volume
- $230.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $26.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.024 | $26.53 | −$69.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.18at 0.220Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$66.33at 0.001Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
- +$35.00at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$24.80at 0.802Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$14.64at 0.702Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 13:52 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $39.29 |
| 05-17 00:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.961 | $77.84 |
| 05-16 22:53 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0948312452 | $18.54 |
| 05-15 14:56 | Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $25.17 |
| 05-01 23:08 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.05 |
| 05-01 23:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL | 0.94 | $169.20 |
| 04-24 17:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $62.40 |
| 04-24 11:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 04-21 17:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.82 | $68.88 |
| 04-13 16:41 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.7017392288 | $55.00 |
| 04-13 16:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.81 | $55.23 |
| 04-13 09:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $60.00 |
| 04-07 21:00 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $55.30 |
| 03-01 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $4.98 |
| 03-01 11:09 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $272.17 |