0x5a6868b4985623873a2f6ca756fadb62db112079
0x5a6868b4985623873a2f6ca756fadb62db112079
- Realised P&L
- $-7.00
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.028 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.62at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$0.04at 0.671Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$-0.10at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8PM ET
- +$-0.28at 0.913Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$-0.37at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:50 | Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:39 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in September 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.29 |
| 09-27 14:37 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 17:49 | Faroe Islands leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $0.65 |
| 09-26 01:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $0.79 |
| 09-26 01:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8PM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $1.03 |
| 09-26 00:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $1.17 |
| 09-16 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |