0x5a61e969ce4319a9cbb06d58463635f4249f2a07
- Realised P&L
- $-518.95
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $385.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.051 | $385.21 | −$413.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.250Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
- +$28.00at 0.282Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$14.67at 0.405Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$8.71at 0.592Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$8.09at 0.379Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 18:32 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999824 | $4.60 |
| 06-22 18:32 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | SELL | 0.0035665374 | $5.16 |
| 06-19 11:54 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.1799999812 | $6.69 |
| 06-19 11:54 | China coup attempt before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.89 |
| 05-26 12:30 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $6.40 |
| 05-26 12:27 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0180103532 | $4.23 |
| 05-12 07:46 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999948 | $10.45 |
| 05-11 21:12 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999959 | $14.89 |
| 05-07 09:14 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.87 |
| 05-07 06:47 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $19.15 |
| 05-07 02:38 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.0842988389 | $81.81 |
| 05-06 15:08 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.1208670301 | $96.51 |
| 05-06 12:08 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $29.85 |
| 05-06 12:08 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $29.85 |
| 05-06 11:58 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.1108635097 | $29.85 |