DKK185
0x5a61a34b9298decd81a174abceb85bf431b71787
- Realised P&L
- $-15.1k
- Volume
- $657.7k
- Markets traded
- 748
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded748
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.305 | $1.2k | +$20.00 |
| Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) · New Mexico | 0.520 | 0.520 | $488.67 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.150 | $144.71 | −$2.40 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.271 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$186.73 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.13 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels · Nevada Wolf Pack | 0.571 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$309.43 |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.86 |
| Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds · Belmont Bruins | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.74 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.06 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Boston Red Sox | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$280.88 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.497 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$188.38 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.37 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.69 |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5) · Michigan State Spartans | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$208.44 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels · Gonzaga Bulldogs | 0.391 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.543Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)
- +$1.5kat 0.217Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$1.4kat 0.128Timberwolves vs. Thunder
- +$1.3kat 0.526Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)
- +$1.1kat 0.544Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:47 | Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $488.67 |
| 09-19 08:15 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.153 | $147.11 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.078 | $70.00 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.074 | $2.81 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $33.83 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 19:17 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.2 | $1.90 |
| 09-16 19:17 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.19 | $189.48 |
| 09-16 18:54 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | SELL | 0.39 | $5.46 |
| 09-16 18:53 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4 | $204.50 |
| 09-16 18:53 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.43875 | $175.50 |
| 09-13 19:52 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.4 | $95.97 |
| 09-13 19:10 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.4499999997 | $146.60 |
| 09-13 19:09 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5099999982 | $138.40 |
| 09-13 18:26 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3174167508 | $147.45 |