jungk
0x5a5587dfbd12ba4c5fc8e60d06a818e0e8b3cdf3
- Realised P&L
- $4.65
- Volume
- $47.1k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $35.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? · No | 0.994 | 0.990 | $35.85 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.623Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.10at 0.964Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?
- +$1.07at 0.971Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 12?
- +$0.88at 0.973Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27?
- +$0.62at 0.982Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $36.00 |
| 09-28 00:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.997 | $36.84 |
| 09-25 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9949999829 | $35.00 |
| 09-24 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.00 |
| 09-23 14:30 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $34.34 |
| 09-20 02:38 | Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.961 | $33.63 |
| 09-18 16:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.987 | $33.56 |
| 09-17 15:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.64 |
| 09-15 14:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $32.44 |
| 09-13 04:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.991 | $31.71 |
| 09-11 15:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 11? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.68 |
| 09-11 02:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.87 |
| 09-09 14:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.87 |
| 09-09 03:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.989 | $31.65 |
| 09-08 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.993 | $30.78 |