FFIE.
0x5a45565906b8478fe456a0d313ce8839b3e7f628
- Realised P&L
- $-53.3k
- Volume
- $5.45M
- Markets traded
- 907
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded907
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.318Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.093Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$8.0kat 0.202Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$6.2kat 0.483Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$5.7kat 0.093Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:34 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.95 | $131.72 |
| 10-03 14:34 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.95 | $400.48 |
| 10-03 14:34 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.94 | $72.99 |
| 10-03 14:33 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.94 | $76.15 |
| 10-03 14:31 | Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.8708992719 | $108.85 |
| 10-03 11:19 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.95 | $76.38 |
| 10-03 11:19 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.95 | $106.40 |
| 10-03 11:19 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.95 | $199.50 |
| 10-03 11:18 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.95 | $387.21 |
| 10-03 11:17 | Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.67 | $53.60 |
| 10-03 11:17 | Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.7260282375 | $137.30 |
| 10-03 10:14 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.93850013 | $722.08 |
| 10-03 07:20 | Will "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.71 | $42.59 |
| 10-02 23:35 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.83 | $13.72 |
| 10-02 23:34 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.9641749503 | $329.79 |