0x5a44a61efc7e629b4326348632c277a7abfb7e1f
- Realised P&L
- $-65.69
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $13.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.051 | $13.18 | −$17.11 |
| Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? · No | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.96at 0.470Wild vs. Blackhawks
- +$9.29at 0.350Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$3.63at 0.163Sharks vs. Oilers
- +$3.57at 0.555Wild vs. Blackhawks
- +$1.70at 0.08876ers vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 04:34 | Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0170000002 | $1.95 |
| 06-08 04:32 | Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0162165377 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 16:34 | Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.072 | $2.29 |
| 06-04 18:05 | Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.1235846173 | $28.00 |
| 04-07 03:13 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.039800995 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 19:25 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $1.10 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |
| 03-19 07:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.244 | $0.65 |