kaima-kaige
0x5a40cc45e9cfeb67a8a76afbb06c45193cf440de
- Realised P&L
- $-45.84
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $456.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.65at 0.402Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 5?
- +$5.44at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?
- +$5.28at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4?
- +$5.07at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5?
- +$4.67at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.60 |
| 10-05 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.25 |
| 10-05 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.58 |
| 10-05 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.60 |
| 10-05 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.47 | $3.26 |
| 10-05 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.35 |
| 10-05 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.77 |
| 10-05 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.5019684694 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.42 |