PolyBot

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Traders

kaima-kaige

0x5a40cc45e9cfeb67a8a76afbb06c45193cf440de

Realised P&L
$-45.84
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$456.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5? · No0.6691.000$14.93+$4.93
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? · No0.7401.000$13.51+$3.51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 5? · No0.4750.996$10.47+$5.47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5? · No0.6310.615$9.74−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 5? · No0.5601.000$8.92+$3.92
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 5? · No0.5641.000$8.86+$3.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5? · No0.5801.000$8.62+$3.62
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 5? · No0.5941.000$8.41+$3.41
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 5? · No0.6001.000$8.33+$3.33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 5? · No0.6001.000$8.33+$3.33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? · No0.6041.000$8.27+$3.27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 5? · No0.6201.000$8.06+$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 5? · No0.6241.000$8.02+$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 5? · No0.6600.957$7.25+$2.25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 5? · No0.7101.000$7.04+$2.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:18Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 5?SELL0.999$9.60
10-05 21:06Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 5?SELL0.03$0.25
10-05 19:06Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?SELL0.33$3.58
10-05 19:05Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 6?SELL0.41$3.60
10-05 19:05Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 5?SELL0.47$3.26
10-05 19:04Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5?SELL0.04$0.35
10-05 19:04Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?SELL0.08$0.77
10-05 19:03Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-05 19:03Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.64$5.00
10-05 19:02Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-05 19:02Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
10-05 19:02Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 7?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-05 19:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 7?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-05 19:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 7?BUY0.5019684694$5.00
10-05 19:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 5?SELL0.999$9.42