lookolik
0x5a4092b43eaa151be0cbd9d42503d60eafad14f2
- Realised P&L
- $-18.87
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $212.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.115 | $151.51 | −$72.46 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.185 | $61.43 | +$31.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.722Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?
- +$2.94at 0.722Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?
- +$2.88at 0.726Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?
- +$2.77at 0.733Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22?
- +$2.75at 0.695Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 16:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $29.89 |
| 03-30 18:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.9949998655 | $6.73 |
| 03-30 18:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 1? | BUY | 0.9679999985 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 18:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.9399999662 | $4.99 |
| 03-30 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 18:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 31? | BUY | 0.9949999244 | $5.00 |
| 03-28 09:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.9949999784 | $3.46 |
| 03-28 09:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.9809999797 | $3.00 |
| 03-28 09:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.9829999973 | $4.00 |
| 03-28 09:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.9949998744 | $4.00 |
| 03-28 09:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 03-28 09:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28? | BUY | 0.9909999814 | $4.00 |
| 03-28 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28? | BUY | 0.997999758 | $4.00 |
| 03-28 09:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $4.00 |