0xknon
0x5a3fa170906e38a011399306d085c6b7229fc880
- Realised P&L
- $642.03
- Volume
- $79.7k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $236.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.073Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$590.50at 0.131Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$542.00at 0.322Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$412.18at 0.590Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$366.24at 0.092Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 17:35 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt? | SELL | 0.27 | $16.04 |
| 07-07 17:23 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 08:04 | Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 17:49 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 17:47 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 06-29 17:31 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 06-29 16:43 | Brazil vs. Japan: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.085 | $4.25 |
| 06-29 16:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.805 | $9.96 |
| 06-26 16:26 | Uruguay vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 06-26 08:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.37105 | $37.10 |
| 06-26 03:26 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 06-24 17:40 | Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 06-24 17:35 | Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 06-24 17:35 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 06-24 17:35 | Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |