PolyBot

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Traders

kaicheli

0x5a3e942f44f08b0d483502134b197593926d786c

Realised P&L
$3.34
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$14.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9980.997$11.88−$0.02
Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.730$2.21−$0.03
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.4380.000$0.00−$1.70
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on November 25? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.10
Bulls vs. Hornets · Hornets0.4300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.04
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 11:41Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.998$11.90
10-18 11:38Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7399997621$2.24
09-10 09:14Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$12.20
09-10 09:11Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.8599999602$1.73
08-29 08:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.999$13.90
07-23 09:19Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$13.90
07-23 09:16Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.002$1.04
05-30 08:35Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
05-30 02:49Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$59.00
05-30 02:40Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.002$2.10
05-30 02:35Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?BUY0.003$1.00
05-30 02:34US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.9969999984$70.00
05-28 09:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?BUY0.999$132.00
05-23 09:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?BUY0.9979999929$132.00
05-12 11:29Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?BUY0.996$132.00