0x5A2Bf9F746409DDdbd848ffD862b6D7af1DDa5CF-1760780891538
0x5a2bf9f746409dddbd848ffd862b6d7af1dda5cf
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $131.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.855 | $6.1k | +$3.4k |
| Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.026 | $149.03 | −$1.6k |
| Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.265 | $98.37 | +$13.37 |
| Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.183 | $76.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.003 | $1.20 | −$18.80 |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.554Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.534Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.547Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$119.79at 0.775World Championships: Italy vs. Norway
- +$1.11at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:10 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.8850204481 | $1.0k |
| 09-09 12:10 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.888 | $150.98 |
| 08-27 09:55 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6609926801 | $200.00 |
| 08-27 09:50 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2145034752 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 09:50 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1920713588 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 09:49 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1315168714 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 09:46 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6400414377 | $500.00 |
| 08-27 09:41 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6119734683 | $150.00 |
| 08-27 09:38 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5434237108 | $200.00 |
| 08-24 09:20 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5150191455 | $200.00 |
| 08-24 08:32 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5118286836 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 08:17 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5028777144 | $150.00 |
| 08-15 06:57 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1853327952 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 19:28 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1435626839 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 19:27 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1429999999 | $1.00 |