PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

QuarterlyComeback

0x5a223238b202d67c8bcf500cbb0e886813e917a6

Realised P&L
$10.0k
Volume
$276.2k
Markets traded
469
Open portfolio
$27.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded469
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9020.968$8.6k+$585.28
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.7480.985$4.5k+$1.1k
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · No0.8130.925$2.2k+$261.66
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9160.962$1.8k+$87.01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7900.877$1.2k+$122.33
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.7950.825$1.0k+$38.02
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · No0.7950.895$675.42+$75.42
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · Yes0.9380.831$619.96−$80.04
Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · Yes0.8790.972$552.83+$52.83
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · No0.9370.905$540.68−$19.31
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9440.961$508.61+$8.61
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8490.945$445.04+$45.04
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.4520.535$296.20+$46.20
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.8830.870$295.48−$4.52
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.3530.405$286.76+$36.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 10:24Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5215300034$150.00
10-02 07:05Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9306930527$10.00
10-02 07:04Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.8791208791$500.00
09-30 15:43Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.3224002321$250.00
09-30 07:03Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?BUY0.9587363474$200.00
09-29 10:59Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?BUY0.9480659803$500.00
09-29 10:51Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?BUY0.9128185098$200.00
09-29 10:49Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999996$50.00
09-28 14:14Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-25 16:01Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.75$250.00
09-24 08:42Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.4899999944$20.00
09-24 08:42Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.960166191$50.00
09-18 22:17Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.9659994734$1.2k
09-18 22:16Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELL0.0911088308$45.73
09-18 08:42Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999997$100.00