PolyBot

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Traders

thunderfrog

0x5a1a32ec6c0b2896a4e9e3d7a48098ec88e92983

Realised P&L
$118.04
Volume
$41.7k
Markets traded
9,860
Open portfolio
$266.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,860
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 06:16Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-22 06:14Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 23?BUY0.84$1.00
10-22 06:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-22 06:01Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 23?BUY0.75$1.00
10-22 06:01Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 22?BUY0.7099997501$1.25
10-22 05:51Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 23?BUY0.32$1.00
10-22 05:48Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 23?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-22 05:47Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 23?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-22 05:47Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 23?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-22 05:46Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 23?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-22 05:46Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 23?BUY0.77$1.00
10-22 05:46Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 23?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-22 05:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 20?SELL0.999$2.54
10-22 05:42Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 23?BUY0.75$1.00
10-22 05:30Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?SELL0.999$1.81