zwtop
0x5a1744a6f80b8630c645bbfaa3fd6494beb41247
- Realised P&L
- $-119.09
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $21.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.160 | $21.22 | +$1.22 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner · Legacy | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.78at 0.410Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
- +$16.66at 0.390Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?
- +$7.54at 0.570LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
- +$7.54at 0.570LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner
- +$4.49at 0.690Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-28 15:35 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $66.66 |
| 01-28 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $11.75 |
| 01-28 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $19.54 |
| 01-28 14:25 | LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | SELL | 0.36 | $12.20 |
| 01-28 13:59 | LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 02:31 | Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech? | SELL | 0.0037058011 | $0.05 |
| 01-27 18:36 | Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 17:58 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 01-27 17:50 | Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech? | BUY | 0.6904374405 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 17:32 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 17:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $118.10 |
| 01-27 13:50 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 01-27 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.61 |
| 01-27 08:55 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 05:51 | LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |