Santiago84
0x5a164c40fe1b13c223e0f62dcee6bb362409a188
- Realised P&L
- $-122.37
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 691
- Open portfolio
- $0.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded691
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.60at 0.016Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$14.52at 0.052Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
- +$13.65at 0.188Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?
- +$13.09at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7AM ET
- +$12.78at 0.021Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 15:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7? | SELL | 0.151 | $0.91 |
| 07-05 22:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $5.04 |
| 06-03 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.4719999233 | $3.20 |
| 06-02 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 02-12 16:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12? | SELL | 0.96 | $15.36 |
| 02-10 10:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.2199999145 | $1.75 |
| 02-09 16:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9? | SELL | 0.9138333333 | $10.97 |
| 02-05 17:21 | Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%? | SELL | 0.1162838668 | $14.39 |
| 01-31 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $13.12 |
| 01-30 20:18 | Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January? | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 01-29 16:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29? | SELL | 0.97645 | $7.81 |
| 01-22 13:33 | Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%? | BUY | 0.135 | $2.70 |
| 01-14 18:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 01-12 20:39 | Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December? | BUY | 0.1141296151 | $1.40 |
| 01-12 19:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.99 |