revol
0x5a0d97cb84e5a204bbe4025c6709cecb1565c6be
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 249
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded249
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$784.03at 0.567Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$713.13at 0.948Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
- +$515.70at 0.012Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$477.22at 0.017Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$407.81at 0.920Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:45 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.864 | $86.40 |
| 11-01 13:18 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.03 |
| 11-01 00:03 | Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.31 |
| 11-01 00:03 | Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0235759013 | $0.50 |
| 11-01 00:03 | Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.84 |
| 10-31 17:29 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0122922201 | $1.30 |
| 10-31 09:16 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0078708778 | $4.74 |
| 10-29 23:43 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.72 |
| 10-29 23:17 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.03 | $12.03 |
| 10-29 15:55 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 10-29 15:48 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.64 |
| 10-29 15:41 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $18.00 |
| 10-29 14:40 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 12:59 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $49.02 |
| 10-29 11:31 | Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.823 | $9.24 |