PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

revol

0x5a0d97cb84e5a204bbe4025c6709cecb1565c6be

Realised P&L
$5.3k
Volume
$1.09M
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$1.0k−$1.3k
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2580.230$586.94−$70.50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.847$503.66−$13.88
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · No0.5710.555$419.63−$11.80
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1700.115$396.74−$188.20
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6320.735$191.97+$26.94
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0800.135$189.00+$77.44
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.155$160.66−$33.19
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4820.395$134.12−$29.47
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027? · No0.6790.640$128.08−$7.72
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3230.430$79.05+$19.61
Will Christine Lagarde win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.040$47.50+$46.10
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.350$43.91+$11.30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3090.403$40.26+$9.35
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8510.826$37.73−$1.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:45Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.864$86.40
11-01 13:18Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.31$4.03
11-01 00:03Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.022$0.31
11-01 00:03Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.0235759013$0.50
11-01 00:03Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.024$0.84
10-31 17:29Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0122922201$1.30
10-31 09:16Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0078708778$4.74
10-29 23:43Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.03$3.72
10-29 23:17Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.03$12.03
10-29 15:55Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.035$3.50
10-29 15:48Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.032$1.64
10-29 15:41Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$18.00
10-29 14:40Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$2.00
10-29 12:59Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.019$49.02
10-29 11:31Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.823$9.24