0x5a069488fcd9ffcae8b5bef33bed496319c5b093
0x5a069488fcd9ffcae8b5bef33bed496319c5b093
- Realised P&L
- $54.51
- Volume
- $707.25
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $41.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $9.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.165 | $8.68 | −$1.32 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.225 | $8.04 | −$1.96 |
| Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.575 | $5.13 | +$0.13 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.620 | 0.605 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.385 | $4.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.14at 0.480Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$19.03at 0.353Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$13.31at 0.281Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$12.40at 0.455Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$11.47at 0.083Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:47 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 03:46 | Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 03:44 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 03:44 | Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 09:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 01:41 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 01:41 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 01:40 | Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 01:40 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 01:39 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 01:28 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 15:38 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 15:38 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 15:37 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 15:36 | Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |