HarryPotter1
0x59f86d3e3221b83ef5c04d6d8e8558585a1d4d4b
- Realised P&L
- $-283.58
- Volume
- $147.1k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $221.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.40at 0.018Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$125.86at 0.014Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$44.93at 0.008Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.63at 0.680Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$29.60at 0.920Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 22:54 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.24 | $14.40 |
| 07-07 04:19 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.023 | $143.75 |
| 07-05 22:02 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.005 | $0.93 |
| 07-05 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998737 | $1.05 |
| 07-04 22:31 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.20 |
| 07-04 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $2.99 |
| 07-04 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999942 | $2.96 |
| 07-02 18:11 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7424999768 | $6.73 |
| 07-01 21:51 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 21:36 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0129999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 21:26 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3529999666 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 17:49 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $149.00 |
| 07-01 17:37 | Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo? | SELL | 0.00163095 | $0.33 |
| 06-29 18:57 | Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan? | BUY | 0.919999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 18:57 | Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.88 |