PolyBot

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Traders

HarryPotter1

0x59f86d3e3221b83ef5c04d6d8e8558585a1d4d4b

Realised P&L
$-283.58
Volume
$147.1k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$221.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4200.785$157.00+$73.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.895$44.75+$9.75
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0760.181$9.07+$5.28
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6100.765$8.78+$1.78
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0500.031$1.55$0.95
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0070.003$0.25$0.45
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0210.003$0.09$0.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00$14.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$100.00
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$149.99
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$5.46
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 22:54Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5SELL0.24$14.40
07-07 04:19Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.023$143.75
07-05 22:02Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceSELL0.005$0.93
07-05 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.3899998737$1.05
07-04 22:31Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?SELL0.011$2.20
07-04 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETSELL0.87$2.99
07-04 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.8599999942$2.96
07-02 18:11Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.7424999768$6.73
07-01 21:51Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$100.00
07-01 21:36Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0129999997$50.00
07-01 21:26Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3529999666$4.00
07-01 17:49Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.9399999999$149.00
07-01 17:37Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?SELL0.00163095$0.33
06-29 18:57Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?BUY0.919999919$10.00
06-29 18:57Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?SELL0.07$0.88