natriumz
0x59f61838de5281381790260dc246961330eb020e
- Realised P&L
- $0.16
- Volume
- $207.04
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $37.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.23at 0.266Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.14at 0.580Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.96at 0.420Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999147 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 20:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.5346534569 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 20:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $7.28 |
| 10-03 18:07 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 17:48 | Will Mia Fréchette win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.2139999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 13:38 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.27 |
| 10-02 23:13 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 13:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2579999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 13:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:20 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4255158358 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 17:38 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:28 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 04:29 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 01:49 | Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.8468125105 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 01:47 | Will the PQ win 75-79 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.2561188719 | $5.00 |