Sara373
0x59e61f1d8dfe12f39592765328c579a02cb6c4d4
- Realised P&L
- $4.92
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 427
- Open portfolio
- $62.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded427
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $32.18 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $30.22 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.34at 0.749Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$9.73at 0.750Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on April 23?
- +$9.53at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on April 22?
- +$9.40at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?
- +$9.31at 0.749Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of April 13 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.20 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999746 | $30.20 |
| 09-13 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.998999964 | $13.50 |
| 09-11 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9989999904 | $18.80 |
| 09-10 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 09-07 14:19 | Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | BUY | 0.9986670456 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999636 | $24.10 |
| 09-06 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9989999745 | $30.20 |
| 09-06 01:33 | Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.50 |
| 09-05 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.50 |
| 09-05 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5? | BUY | 0.9989999198 | $7.40 |
| 09-04 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.30 |
| 09-04 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.80 |
| 09-04 10:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 09-03 13:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 3? | BUY | 0.9989999819 | $31.40 |