Brokeboy7
0x59e486033d615b82ea043c5cf790b5a09b4c3130
- Realised P&L
- $-12.9k
- Volume
- $976.3k
- Markets traded
- 421
- Open portfolio
- $250.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded421
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.739 | 0.625 | $250.00 | −$45.68 |
| Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.80 |
| Will Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.639 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.25 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$172.50 |
| Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.20 |
| Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Omar Marmoush score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? · No | 0.905 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will Jérémy Doku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.999Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$1.3kat 0.764Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$1.1kat 0.565US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$781.02at 0.608US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$738.96at 0.722Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:19 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7392125 | $295.69 |
| 07-22 20:43 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.909 | $248.15 |
| 07-22 20:42 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.5241836158 | $398.70 |
| 07-09 11:55 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $360.00 |
| 06-17 11:41 | Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $16.78 |
| 06-09 12:29 | Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $26.00 |
| 06-09 12:28 | Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4859600067 | $87.24 |
| 06-09 12:18 | Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6 | $170.35 |
| 06-08 11:53 | Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.63 | $29.35 |
| 06-02 21:26 | Will Leandro Trossard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3578170787 | $159.23 |
| 06-02 19:59 | Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5762 | $86.43 |
| 06-02 15:09 | Will Omar Marmoush score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 06-01 22:26 | Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.54 | $22.14 |
| 05-19 08:34 | Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.78 |
| 05-18 19:56 | Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |