0x59e2f08c4e90298fae99ee9dbffab83fc7b3696a
0x59e2f08c4e90298fae99ee9dbffab83fc7b3696a
- Realised P&L
- $70.99
- Volume
- $102.4k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $37.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$253.91at 0.112Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$40.96at 0.713Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
- +$28.18at 0.783Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$24.00at 0.941Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$23.84at 0.563Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:11 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0039019822 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 16:58 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:50 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 12:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on November 1? | BUY | 0.0058387853 | $4.00 |
| 10-27 16:25 | Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs | BUY | 0.809999994 | $23.00 |
| 10-26 16:31 | Qingdao Eagles vs. Tianjin Pioneers | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 16:35 | Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | BUY | 0.8899999995 | $19.00 |
| 10-25 00:46 | Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Tianjin Pioneers | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $15.00 |
| 10-22 16:36 | Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons | BUY | 0.8699999993 | $13.00 |
| 10-22 03:39 | Beijing Ducks vs. Shenzhen Leopards | BUY | 0.8399999939 | $11.00 |
| 10-20 08:59 | Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 01:28 | Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks | BUY | 0.8599999906 | $9.17 |
| 10-17 07:06 | Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fighters | BUY | 0.8199999879 | $8.16 |
| 10-02 05:00 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $12.00 |
| 10-02 04:58 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.00 |