0x59e2f08c4e90298fae99ee9dbffab83fc7b3696a
- Realised P&L
- $178.52
- Volume
- $50.9k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $10.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$253.91at 0.112Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$40.96at 0.713Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
- +$28.18at 0.783Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$24.00at 0.941Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$23.84at 0.563Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:02 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 05:01 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 04:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 15? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 11:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:19 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 10:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 08-16 10:09 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:09 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-16 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4643488707 | $20.00 |