blittle
0x59dbd4b2af26210518a00d401641cde1b708f94f
- Realised P&L
- $49.87
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $19.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.545 | $19.31 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.63at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 31?
- +$20.29at 0.390Knicks vs. Celtics
- +$18.31at 0.552Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$18.02at 0.492Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?
- +$15.83at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5499999944 | $19.49 |
| 09-14 03:41 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5699999813 | $12.18 |
| 09-09 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.3671161306 | $12.73 |
| 09-05 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.3399999659 | $3.79 |
| 09-02 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.7899999966 | $29.84 |
| 08-30 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 31? | BUY | 0.4799999965 | $27.08 |
| 08-27 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.8282886555 | $24.20 |
| 08-25 21:59 | Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.5399999941 | $22.09 |
| 08-23 08:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 23? | BUY | 0.3109999922 | $21.11 |
| 08-21 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.48 | $17.04 |
| 08-19 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.3499999658 | $4.61 |
| 08-18 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? | BUY | 0.4399999909 | $23.18 |
| 08-14 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.6235528139 | $15.32 |
| 08-12 08:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 12? | BUY | 0.649999983 | $11.49 |
| 08-10 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.4099999893 | $8.81 |