PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

blittle

0x59dbd4b2af26210518a00d401641cde1b708f94f

Realised P&L
$49.87
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$19.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 16? · Yes0.5500.545$19.31$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 03:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 16?BUY0.5499999944$19.49
09-14 03:41Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.5699999813$12.18
09-09 11:58Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10?BUY0.3671161306$12.73
09-05 14:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6?BUY0.3399999659$3.79
09-02 11:58Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 3?BUY0.7899999966$29.84
08-30 19:26Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 31?BUY0.4799999965$27.08
08-27 18:28Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 28?BUY0.8282886555$24.20
08-25 21:59Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryBUY0.5399999941$22.09
08-23 08:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 23?BUY0.3109999922$21.11
08-21 10:34Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?BUY0.48$17.04
08-19 14:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 20?BUY0.3499999658$4.61
08-18 05:44Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?BUY0.4399999909$23.18
08-14 17:38Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 15?BUY0.6235528139$15.32
08-12 08:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 12?BUY0.649999983$11.49
08-10 21:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 11?BUY0.4099999893$8.81