PolyBot

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Traders

svaba9237

0x59db23d2637e18aadc006608af68fd14bce92e36

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$398.2k
Markets traded
976
Open portfolio
$8.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded976
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? · Yes0.5200.405$8.10−$2.30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$51.20
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner · KT Rolster0.2460.000$0.00−$299.99
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-15? · No0.9680.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$0.88
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%? · No0.0540.000$0.00−$1.08
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 4 Winner · Eintracht Spandau0.6120.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$2.60
Thor Akureyri vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 1.5 · Over0.8700.000$0.00−$147.90
Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs · VARREL0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$100.10
Steelers vs. Bills · Steelers0.8000.000$0.00−$1.02
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner · EDward Gaming0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 2 Winner · TLN Pirates0.4050.000$0.00−$30.00
Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$3.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 21:44Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on August 30?BUY0.9754019535$50.00
08-30 21:44Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on August 30?BUY0.975000195$50.00
08-30 21:43Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 30?BUY0.9515860752$50.00
08-30 21:43Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 30?BUY0.9588493806$50.00
08-30 21:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 30?BUY0.908183632$50.00
08-30 21:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 30?BUY0.95$24.13
08-30 21:03Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 30?BUY0.9699999942$50.00
08-28 13:33Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?BUY0.95$1.00
08-28 13:33Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?BUY0.92$1.00
08-28 13:33Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.08$1.00
08-28 13:32Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-28 13:32Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?BUY0.9399996992$1.00
08-28 13:32Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-28 13:30Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-28 13:28Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?BUY0.96$1.00