0x59daa3e680e0516ac98c6e38b6e49ebd6c8c1880
0x59daa3e680e0516ac98c6e38b6e49ebd6c8c1880
- Realised P&L
- $-356.43
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $92.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.095 | $25.20 | +$5.20 |
| Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.066 | $11.99 | +$6.99 |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.230 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.025 | $9.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $9.25 | −$0.75 |
| Kings vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.753 | 0.745 | $6.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.032 | $6.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.055 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors · Trail Blazers | 0.500 | 0.490 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.033 | $3.32 | −$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.79at 0.293Lakers vs. Warriors
- +$70.81at 0.645Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$53.64at 0.277Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$43.21at 0.567Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5
- +$40.30at 0.113Spurs vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:51 | Nuggets vs. Clippers | SELL | 0.01 | $0.52 |
| 10-14 02:26 | Pacers vs. Thunder | SELL | 0.56 | $16.67 |
| 10-14 01:11 | Pistons vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 01:11 | Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 01:10 | Nuggets vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.5761493969 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 01:09 | Kings vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.7535615742 | $7.00 |
| 10-12 08:28 | Pacers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3359385028 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 08:26 | Thunder vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.7194244604 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 08:25 | Thunder vs. Hawks | SELL | 0.2807607192 | $8.12 |
| 10-12 08:24 | Knicks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 02:03 | Bulls vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 02:03 | Bulls vs. Nuggets | SELL | 0.63 | $9.69 |
| 10-12 01:51 | Bulls vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 17:01 | Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 12:36 | Mavericks vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |