Abdoulay
0x59d7a43d0919cc9d800dbdbc545deefbfbd8ba8e
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $969.4k
- Markets traded
- 395
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded395
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $959.16 | +$55.82 |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.976 | $782.25 | −$18.41 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.993 | $727.91 | +$2.49 |
| Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.975 | $230.28 | −$3.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.750Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
- +$1.6kat 0.749Will Montauban win?
- +$730.00at 0.750Will Angers SCO vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
- +$477.29at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 1?
- +$419.10at 0.751Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-14 07:18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $29.9k |
| 09-13 07:28 | Will Karsten Schneider win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9979608541 | $1.4k |
| 09-12 17:54 | Campbell vs. Florida | BUY | 0.996003996 | $4.2k |
| 09-12 12:39 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.994 | $165.00 |
| 09-12 12:38 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.994 | $960.20 |
| 09-12 12:38 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.994 | $497.00 |
| 09-12 12:37 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.994 | $536.75 |
| 09-12 12:37 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9938736638 | $2.3k |
| 09-05 07:42 | Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9894457194 | $233.69 |
| 09-05 07:41 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.989108275 | $725.42 |
| 09-05 07:40 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.9989700558 | $800.66 |
| 09-05 07:40 | Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.982 | $9.82 |
| 09-05 07:37 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.7k |
| 09-03 13:46 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $61.48 |