0x59d595736c2f3ccd65daabf1c596199397a37589
0x59d595736c2f3ccd65daabf1c596199397a37589
- Realised P&L
- $0.10
- Volume
- $333.71
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $17.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes | 0.878 | 0.874 | $13.11 | −$0.06 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.043 | $2.18 | −$0.86 |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.114 | $1.71 | +$0.41 |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.006 | $0.04 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.98at 0.470Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
- +$0.70at 0.985Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
- +$0.00at 0.006Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- +$-0.19at 0.001Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
- +$-0.65at 0.797Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:31 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.087 | $1.30 |
| 10-02 16:31 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.878 | $13.17 |
| 09-18 23:17 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-18 23:17 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-18 23:16 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-11 12:25 | Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.984 | $44.87 |
| 09-11 12:09 | Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.18 |