CryptoOracle86
0x59d29e46cd046a85be8e1f6a59dcf0edebff6773
- Realised P&L
- $15.31
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $65.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $65.00 | −$5.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.61at 0.710Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$9.00at 0.012Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$8.50at 0.870Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$4.18at 0.2072026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
- +$1.00at 0.019Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 17:36 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $22.94 |
| 07-20 17:36 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $17.06 |
| 07-20 17:35 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $95.49 |
| 01-25 15:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.78 | $0.12 |
| 01-25 04:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 03:57 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $70.00 |
| 01-25 03:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.21 | $295.26 |
| 11-21 16:53 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.019 | $16.26 |
| 11-21 16:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $607.76 |
| 11-21 16:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 11-21 05:04 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | SELL | 0.67 | $26.80 |
| 11-17 05:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $346.48 |
| 11-17 02:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0179870516 | $8.10 |
| 11-16 18:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 11-16 18:06 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |