botpaul2
0x59ce3b8312b6b50c8503fef8e1813c23b31a6f07
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $79.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,344
- Open portfolio
- $12.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,344
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.495 | $8.29 | +$1.34 |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.730 | 0.605 | $2.98 | −$0.61 |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.320 | 0.380 | $1.32 | +$0.21 |
| Nuno Borges vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.61 |
| Spread: Gainare Tottori (-1.5) · Gainare Tottori | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5) · Tsitsipas | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
| Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5) · Crystal Palace FC | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.97 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.40 |
| Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Maximo Zeitune · Maximo Zeitune | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.62 |
| Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.06 |
| Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima · Brandon Nakashima | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets · Pelicans | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.80 |
| LoL: GLORE vs DOCISK - Game 2 Winner · GLORE | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.88at 0.474Suns vs. Magic: O/U 225.5
- +$148.50at 0.490Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
- +$147.60at 0.180Warriors vs. Kings
- +$142.20at 0.210Heat vs. Pacers
- +$126.00at 0.30076ers vs. Hornets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 20:41 | Will FC Imabari win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.3230033333 | $9.69 |
| 04-24 20:31 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26? | SELL | 0.88 | $11.00 |
| 04-24 20:31 | Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2506714852 | $10.75 |
| 04-24 20:31 | Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.71 | $11.84 |
| 04-24 20:31 | Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.25 | $11.68 |
| 04-24 20:30 | Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.9544301075 | $13.31 |
| 04-24 20:30 | Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.4535345115 | $13.60 |
| 04-24 20:30 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A | SELL | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 04-24 20:30 | Will RB Ōmiya Ardija win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.4816666667 | $14.45 |
| 04-24 20:29 | Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) | SELL | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 04-24 20:29 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26? | SELL | 0.52 | $15.60 |
| 04-24 20:29 | Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.5446745363 | $16.15 |
| 04-24 20:29 | West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.55 | $16.49 |
| 04-24 20:29 | Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.57 | $17.10 |
| 04-24 20:29 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | SELL | 0.74 | $18.50 |