PolyBot

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Traders

JewedGambler

0x59cdb746be010472b285779a737ee066066c716f

Realised P&L
$-421.71
Volume
$368.5k
Markets traded
541
Open portfolio
$15.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded541
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.2900.125$12.50−$16.50
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · Yes0.4500.105$1.57−$5.17
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? · Yes0.4600.195$1.08−$1.47
Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? · Yes0.3500.015$0.23−$5.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 10:13Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?SELL0.23$1.61
06-28 10:09Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?SELL0.44$2.20
06-28 10:08Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?SELL0.46$2.30
06-28 10:07Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?SELL0.89$4.45
06-28 10:07Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?SELL0.2627777778$4.73
06-28 10:06Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?SELL0.74$5.18
06-28 10:05Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?SELL0.87$11.31
06-28 10:04Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?SELL0.465557408$41.89
06-03 21:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.995$7.41
05-31 14:47Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?SELL0.4612173913$26.52
05-31 12:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.002$0.20
05-31 12:50Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?SELL0.21$2.73
05-31 12:50Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?SELL0.28$2.97
05-31 12:48Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?SELL0.84$4.20
05-31 12:48Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?SELL0.9$4.50