PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JewedGambler

0x59cdb746be010472b285779a737ee066066c716f

Realised P&L
$-425.60
Volume
$370.6k
Markets traded
541
Open portfolio
$26.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded541
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.2900.120$12.00$17.00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? · Yes0.4600.635$9.53+$2.63
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · Yes0.4500.175$2.63$4.13
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? · Yes0.4600.250$1.39$1.17
Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? · Yes0.3500.036$0.55$4.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 10:13Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?SELL0.23$1.61
06-28 10:09Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?SELL0.44$2.20
06-28 10:08Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?SELL0.46$2.30
06-28 10:07Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?SELL0.89$4.45
06-28 10:07Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?SELL0.2627777778$4.73
06-28 10:06Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?SELL0.74$5.18
06-28 10:05Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?SELL0.87$11.31
06-28 10:04Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?SELL0.465557408$41.89
06-03 21:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.995$7.41
05-31 14:47Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?SELL0.4612173913$26.52
05-31 12:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.002$0.20
05-31 12:50Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?SELL0.21$2.73
05-31 12:50Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?SELL0.28$2.97
05-31 12:48Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?SELL0.84$4.20
05-31 12:48Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?SELL0.9$4.50