JewedGambler
0x59cdb746be010472b285779a737ee066066c716f
- Realised P&L
- $-425.60
- Volume
- $370.6k
- Markets traded
- 541
- Open portfolio
- $26.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded541
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.120 | $12.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.635 | $9.53 | +$2.63 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.175 | $2.63 | −$4.13 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.250 | $1.39 | −$1.17 |
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.036 | $0.55 | −$4.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$871.18at 0.690Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$847.62at 0.501Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$610.56at 0.996US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$491.69at 0.002Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
- +$301.30at 0.230Will Solana dip to $175 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 10:13 | Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.61 |
| 06-28 10:09 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 06-28 10:08 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 06-28 10:07 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 06-28 10:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.2627777778 | $4.73 |
| 06-28 10:06 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? | SELL | 0.74 | $5.18 |
| 06-28 10:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.87 | $11.31 |
| 06-28 10:04 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.465557408 | $41.89 |
| 06-03 21:48 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.41 |
| 05-31 14:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.4612173913 | $26.52 |
| 05-31 12:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 05-31 12:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.73 |
| 05-31 12:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.97 |
| 05-31 12:48 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 05-31 12:48 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |