TimmyTempah
0x59ccf6950a6b0209eb557da9da18843cec8285f7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.758 | 1.000 | $2.4k | +$571.94 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) · New York Mets | 0.760 | 1.000 | $1.3k | +$315.12 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.740 | 1.000 | $257.72 | +$66.91 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.655 | $98.25 | +$14.25 |
| Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.310 | 1.000 | $29.98 | +$20.68 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.890 | 1.000 | $9.09 | +$1.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.160 | 0.001 | $3.12 | −$995.19 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.001 | $1.28 | −$998.71 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers · New York Mets | 0.400 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$998.75 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.850 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.15 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 · Under | 0.640 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.36 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$68.27 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$12.59 |
| New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.620 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$18.59 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$449.27at 0.690Spread: Chicago White Sox (-7.5)
- +$430.52at 0.699St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$261.12at 0.392Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$245.21at 0.520Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5
- +$91.35at 0.492Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:28 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $0.51 |
| 09-24 20:26 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.87 | $435.00 |
| 09-24 20:22 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-7.5) | BUY | 0.68 | $0.68 |
| 09-24 20:22 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $0.64 |
| 09-24 19:32 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-7.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 09-24 19:32 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $17.10 |
| 09-24 19:32 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-8.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 09-24 19:32 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 09-24 19:26 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-6.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $0.58 |
| 09-24 19:22 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.48 | $86.40 |
| 09-24 19:19 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.57 | $45.60 |
| 09-24 19:19 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $1000.00 |
| 09-24 19:19 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.4 | $1.0k |
| 09-24 19:19 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.59 | $3.54 |
| 09-24 19:18 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.1585012426 | $177.31 |