PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Opposite865

0x59c7576d33e30c313e1e23dfd87a64986cc3be1f

Realised P&L
$96.25
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$96.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.4600.635$27.61+$7.61
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1800.235$26.11+$6.11
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.6000.615$15.38+$0.38
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0600.041$13.50−$6.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.155$10.33+$0.33
Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.3300.075$3.41−$11.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.4220.000$0.00−$35.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3210.000$0.00−$52.50
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6560.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.3130.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:12Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4799999962$20.00
09-21 09:14Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-19 15:18Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.011$0.39
09-14 07:59Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.6$31.09
09-13 15:39Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.32$10.00
09-13 07:02Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-13 07:01Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-13 07:01Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
09-13 07:01Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-13 07:01Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5699999886$20.00
09-12 19:34Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.5499999904$20.00
09-06 18:25Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
09-06 18:25Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.7899999866$10.00
09-06 18:22Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6899999995$15.00
09-05 14:27Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.2299999692$5.00