Opposite865
0x59c7576d33e30c313e1e23dfd87a64986cc3be1f
- Realised P&L
- $96.25
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $96.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.30at 0.081Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$25.88at 0.612Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$21.07at 0.659Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$20.92at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.06at 0.602Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:12 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 09:14 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.39 |
| 09-14 07:59 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.6 | $31.09 |
| 09-13 15:39 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 07:02 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 07:01 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 07:01 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 07:01 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 07:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 19:34 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 18:25 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 18:25 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 18:22 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 14:27 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |