Firewnl
0x59c25859b5ea3f9edd96a6c9fe9a5b856d5bde58
- Realised P&L
- $-441.81
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $23.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.470 | $23.93 | +$15.13 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.17at 0.361Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
- +$63.80at 0.671Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
- +$46.61at 0.380Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?
- +$40.91at 0.458Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
- +$35.00at 0.533Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 22:27 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.221 | $8.50 |
| 02-15 05:54 | Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.3187161291 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 18:34 | Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) | SELL | 0.0024500045 | $0.54 |
| 01-28 12:56 | Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) | BUY | 0.077 | $2.31 |
| 01-28 12:54 | Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) | BUY | 0.0449999957 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 19:29 | Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | BUY | 0.253 | $10.12 |
| 01-24 20:41 | Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | BUY | 0.6099999914 | $22.00 |
| 01-23 21:56 | Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | SELL | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 01-23 21:21 | Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | SELL | 0.35384 | $22.11 |
| 01-23 14:29 | Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 01-23 13:50 | Will "Finding Her Edge" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 01-23 13:50 | Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 01-23 13:24 | Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026) | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 21:13 | Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026) | BUY | 0.039 | $0.23 |
| 01-21 13:49 | Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026) | BUY | 0.07 | $4.20 |