PolyBot

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Traders

mudryklox

0x59c06aa417241d5d930d76f3a856a2cf5ccccd82

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$44.8k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$124.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 1.5 · Over0.9811.000$99.95+$1.85
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.9821.000$14.19+$0.25
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.085$8.50−$6.50
Will Benin win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0010.001$2.12−$2.12
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yes0.4620.000$0.00−$3.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 22:50Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 1.5BUY0.981$98.10
10-06 22:44Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.982$13.94
10-05 13:53Spread: Saints (-1.5)BUY0.5$6.00
09-28 15:18Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.72$97.50
09-28 15:17NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
07-13 22:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.213$24.26
07-13 22:22Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.854$25.54
06-30 12:16Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026BUY0.462$3.66
05-25 22:49Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.96$3.53
04-07 07:24Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.918$27.46
02-05 02:40Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.7883922591$28.72
11-24 10:27US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?BUY0.93$26.73
11-24 10:26Manchester United vs. Everton: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.57$2.85
11-01 00:08Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?BUY0.88$26.03
09-06 15:52Will San Marino win on 2025-09-06?BUY0.987$197.40