PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Y-N

0x59bc2f30af12bce24f85df9d20e2ec8f1f18a885

Realised P&L
$-4.59
Volume
$270.57
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$0.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crimson Desert win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0030.045$0.81+$0.76
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5780.000$0.00−$5.78
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$0.29
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win on 2026-07-05? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$0.12
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$1.50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$0.90
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00−$1.01
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · Belgium0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 20:49England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.4525$4.53
07-09 19:48Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3499998775$1.00
07-07 21:15France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.78$1.00
07-07 21:08France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.78$1.00
07-07 13:30Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4$1.00
07-06 10:16Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-06 10:13United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4699998778$1.00
07-05 15:54Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
06-27 01:57Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?BUY0.91$1.00
06-25 23:01Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.64$1.00
06-25 13:20Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.789$3.95
06-22 02:54Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-22 01:54Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?SELL0.5$1.19
06-22 00:59Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.8399996472$2.00
06-21 22:03Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.91$2.00