DeanWeen
0x59b6f52e66420f7bb9ff5569ec204b166d210bad
- Realised P&L
- $-7.41
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $476.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.658 | 0.405 | $389.44 | −$243.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.660 | 0.405 | $60.14 | −$37.86 |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.455 | $26.21 | +$6.48 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.564 | 0.165 | $0.59 | −$1.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.32at 0.992Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$96.25at 0.744Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$92.02at 0.825US recession in 2025?
- +$79.64at 0.613Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
- +$70.58at 0.467Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 00:55 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.3425587851 | $19.73 |
| 08-12 00:54 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 20:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 20:14 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.104632 | $5.23 |
| 08-06 10:42 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:41 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 10:40 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 08-05 01:02 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 07:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 02:36 | Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 07-31 02:35 | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.41 | $79.45 |
| 07-23 08:12 | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.3899999946 | $34.07 |
| 07-23 08:11 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.55 | $35.46 |
| 07-22 07:24 | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.3599999962 | $38.31 |