chuyi10
0x59b5398519ca73897667e18bed5b7b2eef886164
- Realised P&L
- $-4.84
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $115.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.745 | $89.40 | −$6.60 |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? · No | 0.450 | 0.435 | $26.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.75at 0.690Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.790Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
- +$1.06at 0.800Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.560Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$0.60at 0.830Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:24 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 09-17 08:06 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $56.70 |
| 09-14 23:44 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-14 23:43 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-14 10:19 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-10 09:49 | Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |