0x59B36BB48F0943FB84f37E529D1D1329B54161a2-1774380827784
0x59b36bb48f0943fb84f37e529d1d1329b54161a2
- Realised P&L
- $-76.69
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $7.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.115 | $7.39 | +$4.36 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.193 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$226.01at 0.137Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-29.48at 0.095Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 21:11 | Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.047 | $3.03 |
| 07-14 21:22 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1929999996 | $285.89 |
| 07-14 21:21 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.571 | $306.34 |
| 06-17 18:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1339999985 | $71.89 |
| 03-24 19:41 | Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.0950912373 | $29.48 |