filsdeup
0x59add0f0e3b0cf3a184555b57ac9f5b38fb4b275
- Realised P&L
- $-0.11
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $59.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.952 | 0.996 | $44.80 | +$1.95 |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) · Suns | 0.510 | 0.485 | $7.28 | −$0.38 |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) · Spurs | 0.470 | 0.515 | $5.15 | +$0.45 |
| Spread: Boise State (-6.5) · Boise State | 0.600 | 0.605 | $1.24 | +$0.01 |
| Bangladesh Women Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia Women vs Bangladesh Women · Bangladesh Women | 0.021 | 0.021 | $0.65 | +$0.03 |
| Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.005 | $0.42 | −$3.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.93at 0.440KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers
- +$0.58at 0.170Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
- +$0.48at 0.340Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAE
- +$0.36at 0.780Sonic Boom vs. LG Sakers
- +$-0.18at 0.122Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 14:38 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.034 | $19.82 |
| 10-07 14:37 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1209634615 | $6.29 |