0x59ab96d215bf27dd8c5803243a2a348aa0db89af
- Realised P&L
- $80.42
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $12.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E37? · No | 0.400 | 0.500 | $12.50 | +$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.35at 0.290Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$23.28at 0.306Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$21.91at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$20.30at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$17.91at 0.364Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:15 | Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 15:52 | Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:56 | Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:38 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 12:01 | Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 11:41 | Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 08:31 | Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 05:13 | Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 04:45 | Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:51 | Will IFK Varnamo win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:22 | IFK Varnamo vs. Osters IF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 18:56 | Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 18:09 | Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 16:32 | Will Vikingur Reykjavik win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 16:32 | Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |