PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

0x59ab96d215bf27dd8c5803243a2a348aa0db89af

Realised P&L
$-4.02
Volume
$353.98
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$80.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.5101.000$19.88+$9.74
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No0.5900.780$13.22+$3.22
Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.4800.355$6.66$2.34
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7201.000$6.08+$1.70
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.2600.105$4.04$5.96
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? · No0.6400.675$3.65+$0.19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? · No0.6701.000$3.30+$1.09
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026? · Yes0.5601.000$3.05+$1.34
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference? · No0.5801.000$3.05+$1.28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? · Yes0.3901.000$3.00+$1.83
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · Yes0.5100.500$2.93$0.06
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · Yes0.5100.500$2.93$0.06
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.5600.830$2.53+$0.82
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · Yes0.4990.500$1.99+$0.00
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · Yes0.5000.500$1.53+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:29S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?BUY0.219999985$10.00
08-02 22:53Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
08-02 14:01Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
08-02 05:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4499999441$1.61
08-01 21:06Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
08-01 13:05Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?BUY0.64$3.46
08-01 04:44New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999249$2.99
07-31 20:41Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56
07-31 12:39Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.6699999939$2.21
07-31 04:03Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.39$1.17
07-29 18:54Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 03:28Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5799998886$1.77
07-27 22:30Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-27 13:04Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.5599999345$1.71
07-27 00:25Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999249$2.99