0x59ab96d215bf27dd8c5803243a2a348aa0db89af
- Realised P&L
- $-4.02
- Volume
- $353.98
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $80.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.75at 0.480Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$8.86at 0.530Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
- +$3.48at 0.750Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.530Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$1.37at 0.595Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 22:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:01 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 05:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4499999441 | $1.61 |
| 08-01 21:06 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:05 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.46 |
| 08-01 04:44 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999249 | $2.99 |
| 07-31 20:41 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |
| 07-31 12:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999939 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 04:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |
| 07-29 18:54 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 03:28 | Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5799998886 | $1.77 |
| 07-27 22:30 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |
| 07-27 13:04 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999345 | $1.71 |
| 07-27 00:25 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999249 | $2.99 |