0x59ab2d49cfd56f3325458793fcfd124ae053a8d6
0x59ab2d49cfd56f3325458793fcfd124ae053a8d6
- Realised P&L
- $3.98
- Volume
- $292.30
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $4.85
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.350 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.320 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? · No | 0.700 | 0.650 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September? · Yes | 0.732 | 0.680 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.190 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$2.72at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$2.50at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 21:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:43 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September? | BUY | 0.73238304 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:13 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in August? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:08 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:07 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 04:06 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:55 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:54 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 23? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 00:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 06:12 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 19:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |