Kura1101
0x599f72c605635944bbfafc4511aebd05ebe94ce3
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $597.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $602.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.017 | $602.40 | −$397.59 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No | 0.665 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.686 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.170Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$2.2kat 0.505US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.412Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$546.27at 0.090Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$536.87at 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 00:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.105 | $332.28 |
| 06-30 09:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.193 | $1.1k |
| 06-27 06:33 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.1k |
| 06-22 09:39 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.023 | $638.89 |
| 06-22 00:06 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $222.22 |
| 06-18 02:00 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $484.06 |
| 06-17 00:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.8k |
| 06-15 12:52 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9546964627 | $1.2k |
| 06-10 00:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.685827494 | $1000.00 |
| 06-09 10:13 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $500.00 |
| 06-04 13:02 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.6786190103 | $1000.00 |
| 06-01 10:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.5k |
| 05-31 07:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999982 | $384.00 |
| 05-27 07:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.9821180419 | $2.4k |
| 05-26 23:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $43.00 |