Perpswarrior
0x599c907cadfdffc91fcf69a515f7e200d3dcbab8
- Realised P&L
- $29.37
- Volume
- $440.16
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $159.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canucks vs. Kraken · Kraken | 0.524 | 1.000 | $38.00 | +$18.09 |
| Singapore Open, Qualification: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Anastasia Kulikova · Anna-Lena Friedsam | 0.568 | 0.965 | $34.74 | +$14.28 |
| Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Ito · Nao Hibino | 0.500 | 0.670 | $26.80 | +$6.80 |
| Saint Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Cesar Bouchelaghem · Matteo Martineau | 0.540 | 0.535 | $20.33 | −$0.19 |
| Caldas da Rainha: Gabriela Knutson vs Lisa Pigato · Lisa Pigato | 0.440 | 0.435 | $20.01 | −$0.23 |
| Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Marat Sharipov · Pavel Kotov | 0.500 | 0.485 | $19.40 | −$0.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down | 0.504 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.77at 0.442Tiburon: Michael Mmoh vs J.J. Wolf
- +$9.65at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$9.65at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$-1.09at 0.361Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Darwin Blanch
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 02:46 | Saint Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Cesar Bouchelaghem | BUY | 0.54 | $20.52 |
| 09-20 00:28 | Canucks vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.5240526316 | $19.91 |
| 09-19 22:33 | Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Darwin Blanch | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-19 22:31 | Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Darwin Blanch | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-19 22:23 | Caldas da Rainha: Gabriela Knutson vs Lisa Pigato | BUY | 0.44 | $20.24 |
| 09-19 22:18 | Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Ito | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 21:49 | Singapore Open, Qualification: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Anastasia Kulikova | BUY | 0.57 | $10.26 |
| 09-19 21:49 | Tiburon: Michael Mmoh vs J.J. Wolf | BUY | 0.43 | $10.32 |
| 09-19 21:48 | Guangzhou: Pavel Kotov vs Marat Sharipov | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 21:19 | Singapore Open, Qualification: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Anastasia Kulikova | BUY | 0.5666666667 | $10.20 |
| 09-19 21:16 | Tiburon: Michael Mmoh vs J.J. Wolf | BUY | 0.43 | $10.32 |
| 07-21 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 20:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5042514965 | $5.00 |