0x599776b2eA5c37feF13D4DF4Ce3C84FB32EfDc03-1778298078703
0x599776b2ea5c37fef13d4df4ce3c84fb32efdc03
- Realised P&L
- $-82.40
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $64.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.360Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
- +$15.46at 0.397Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.20at 0.580Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$-3.45at 0.639Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 18:25 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.4259298125 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 18:24 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 08-11 18:05 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 07-05 18:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 07:27 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.0357435897 | $1.39 |
| 06-03 07:22 | Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.0792048844 | $4.83 |
| 06-01 20:29 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.17 |
| 05-30 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 19:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 19:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 19:20 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 05-11 19:15 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 05-11 07:40 | Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.0091294304 | $1.44 |