willylee
0x5993ba19348ed5f2f265464148ee82f9693033a2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $3.30M
- Markets traded
- 679
- Open portfolio
- $0.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded679
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Hornets · Bucks | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.66 | −$654.34 |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.24 |
| Kings vs. Lakers · Kings | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$365.00 |
| Magic vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$340.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat · Heat | 0.396 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$374.50 |
| Pelicans vs. Heat · Pelicans | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$448.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.9kat 0.279Jazz vs. Magic
- +$5.9kat 0.531Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
- +$3.8kat 0.310Lakers vs. Mavericks
- +$3.8kat 0.178Pelicans vs. Spurs
- +$3.8kat 0.670Hornets vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 23:20 | Bucks vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.51 | $290.00 |
| 10-11 23:19 | Bucks vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.4917811911 | $365.00 |
| 10-11 02:33 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | SELL | 0.580930567 | $549.36 |
| 10-11 02:23 | Pistons vs. Wizards | SELL | 0.999 | $928.66 |
| 10-11 01:52 | Pistons vs. Wizards | SELL | 0.4650827255 | $432.33 |
| 10-11 00:52 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | BUY | 0.2899999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 00:28 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | BUY | 0.4196542615 | $649.00 |
| 10-10 23:24 | Pistons vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.6018232828 | $569.68 |
| 10-10 23:20 | Pistons vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.5478960787 | $500.00 |
| 10-10 00:39 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.4763514159 | $185.81 |
| 10-10 00:36 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 00:33 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.5784676668 | $286.00 |
| 10-09 13:04 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.07 | $7.71 |
| 10-09 12:20 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.2699999996 | $151.53 |
| 10-09 03:08 | Kings vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.2729585431 | $250.00 |