0x59908fa53d9be28fc8121ddfd94ffbce818f2183
0x59908fa53d9be28fc8121ddfd94ffbce818f2183
- Realised P&L
- $102.77
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $39.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $29.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $9.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.36at 0.369Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$160.83at 0.115Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$90.37at 0.530Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$89.41at 0.535Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$73.65at 0.580Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 04:54 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 04:53 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 14:45 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 14:43 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 14:21 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 14:32 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 12:51 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 14:56 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 15:20 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 15:20 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 14:35 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.22 | $6.57 |
| 09-12 14:17 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 08:12 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 08:10 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 14:43 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.5299999924 | $25.00 |