0x598a03172034c49677f7e336a09fc25a0863b3a0
0x598a03172034c49677f7e336a09fc25a0863b3a0
- Realised P&L
- $125.61
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $199.26
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.98at 0.061Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?
- +$12.20at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 29?
- +$9.12at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?
- +$4.73at 0.515Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 30?
- +$3.57at 0.585Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2? | BUY | 0.3799999969 | $4.85 |
| 10-01 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.3399999789 | $4.84 |
| 10-01 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.977 | $5.11 |
| 10-01 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.1553493266 | $3.69 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2015831643 | $4.79 |
| 10-01 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.5099999625 | $4.89 |
| 10-01 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.2799999954 | $4.82 |
| 10-01 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.3599999851 | $4.84 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4199999654 | $4.85 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.3799999733 | $4.84 |
| 10-01 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2780863451 | $4.81 |
| 09-30 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4299999911 | $4.85 |
| 09-30 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.68 |
| 09-30 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.974 | $4.90 |
| 09-30 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.68 |