MandangoCrypto
0x59756bfa777740d93ddbc86d17336a6f40c46820
- Realised P&L
- $-36.2k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.472 | 0.403 | $7.2k | −$1.2k |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No | 0.270 | 0.986 | $197.20 | +$143.20 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.735 | $84.30 | +$57.92 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.18 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.616 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.4k |
| Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan · Inter | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.8kat 0.626Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$9.1kat 0.570Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$8.6kat 0.121Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$8.4kat 0.776Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$6.1kat 0.235Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.479 | $7.3k |
| 10-13 12:25 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.1k |
| 09-07 16:00 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.8k |
| 09-06 14:57 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%? | BUY | 0.55 | $1000.00 |
| 09-06 14:56 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.21 | $57.18 |
| 09-06 14:52 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.27 | $54.00 |
| 09-06 13:59 | Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.23 | $24.38 |
| 02-28 07:06 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0395221027 | $100.00 |
| 01-17 03:44 | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.9k |
| 01-12 18:16 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.73 | $255.41 |
| 01-06 15:46 | US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.7k |
| 01-06 15:44 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? | BUY | 0.9493508336 | $4.4k |
| 12-01 14:55 | Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.5k |
| 12-01 14:55 | Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.54 | $651.52 |
| 11-05 18:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.977 | $10.0k |