0x596c408dce43f4a8d4036492f02b41e97a5f1e0e
0x596c408dce43f4a8d4036492f02b41e97a5f1e0e
- Realised P&L
- $-349.27
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $0.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2PM ET · Up | 0.089 | 0.025 | $0.56 | −$1.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.32at 0.097Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$34.83at 0.187Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$33.46at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4PM ET
- +$22.29at 0.198Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$17.38at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.495574136 | $4.45 |
| 10-06 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.334426201 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 17:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $1.92 |
| 10-06 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $1.96 |
| 10-06 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $4.37 |
| 10-06 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.2950819575 | $3.00 |